Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 218.420374 245.499141 275.427603 311.099827 352.642214 399.712123 457.389680
2025-03-02 180.840886 217.485393 261.558960 319.060956 392.971763 485.982753 613.824048
2025-03-09 157.202051 197.508622 248.749846 319.808340 417.631583 550.370783 749.129581
2025-03-16 138.343459 179.680441 234.512836 314.268218 430.257184 597.672291 867.137266
2025-03-23 126.133288 168.567451 226.969135 315.569123 450.933318 657.705719 1013.950048
2025-03-30 114.092840 156.069240 215.617311 309.182343 458.226576 697.301298 1134.704426
2025-04-06 105.304067 147.141113 208.165191 307.229072 471.369969 747.298261 1282.746262
2025-04-13 94.938940 134.862873 194.373205 293.496329 462.978257 758.912534 1361.802895
2025-04-20 91.373203 132.399655 195.180041 303.091632 494.921077 846.252314 1608.061120
2025-04-27 88.758723 131.095617 197.551338 315.358990 533.038298 951.416956 1919.040759
2025-05-04 84.090872 126.123536 193.470721 315.899087 549.453012 1016.862574 2159.258958
2025-05-11 78.264421 118.826826 184.892643 307.447645 547.389950 1043.841727 2314.735280
2025-05-18 73.238786 112.583871 177.746981 301.166756 549.389437 1081.222922 2511.644149
2025-05-25 70.942826 110.723572 177.976892 308.683881 580.578684 1189.567874 2935.902412
2025-06-01 67.787685 107.156098 174.875547 309.405942 597.481716 1268.163117 3304.365784
2025-06-08 64.029081 102.282892 169.034606 304.086503 600.409861 1313.384920 3587.843652
2025-06-15 61.517609 99.415775 166.604197 305.335636 618.188150 1399.686784 4040.138614
2025-06-22 58.225927 94.951658 160.876180 299.202590 618.018629 1438.817994 4345.841086
2025-06-29 55.736292 91.777234 157.342828 297.326682 627.720824 1507.085915 4790.477224
2025-07-06 52.046210 86.213321 148.884029 284.134670 608.122194 1488.670898 4889.372162
2025-07-13 51.266237 85.950930 150.642489 293.352744 645.783440 1646.225757 5796.312012
2025-07-20 50.786825 86.209121 153.425790 305.133869 691.989314 1842.412616 7004.103720
2025-07-27 49.120290 84.121124 151.363632 305.652459 708.381456 1947.837429 7849.028400